Object: Nowcast · vintage mosaic

Nowcast plots

The walk plate is the entry. These are the drawings, one after another.

Three pillars, drawn separately. Jobs are Oregon and the United States. Safety z and NAEP z use the 50 states already in the derived files. Imprisonment is a control chart, off to the side of safety. Short labels are in the glossary on the walk plate.

There is no blended grade on this page, no forecast, and no trendline. Portland is not plotted. Blank school cells are not on the school z chart.

Jobs. 2024 births and deaths, Business Employment Dynamics (BED). Oregon not seasonally adjusted (NSA) establishments beside United States seasonally adjusted (SA) thousands. Not one subtracted gap.
Oregon and United States establishment births and deaths, 2024 Separate panels. Oregon NSA establishments and United States SA thousands. BED vintage: U.S. Department of Labor release USDL-26-1268. Jobs · establishment births and deaths, 2024 Object: Nowcast · vintage mosaic. Two panels. Not one gap. Oregon · NSA · establishments, unrounded Births 17,741 Deaths 19,950 Births − deaths −2,209 United States · SA · thousands, as published Births 1,292 thousand Deaths 1,226 thousand Births − deaths +66 thousand Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) BED public data feed (API). Aligned to U.S. Department of Labor release USDL-26-1268 (29 July 2026). Retrieved 2026-09-26. Lag about 7 months; deaths held three quarters. The 2025 annual net is not drawn. Second quarter (Q2) through fourth quarter (Q4) of 2025: those deaths are unpublished. Do not subtract Oregon NSA counts from United States SA thousands. The units and the seasonal adjustment differ. No trendline. This is the 2024 vintage, not a path.
Jobs. Five-quarter SA sector nets, 2024 Q2–2025 Q2. The bars do not sum to total private.
Oregon and United States five-quarter sector net jobs Matched SA window 2024 Q2–2025 Q2. Sector bars do not sum to total private. Jobs · private sector net, five quarters Seasonally adjusted both sides. Window 2024 Q2–2025 Q2. Not the three-quarter window. Oregon jobs, unrounded. Total private −24,076. Construction −6,986 Manufacturing −9,071 Wholesale trade −2,652 Retail trade −8,394 Transportation and warehousing −707 Information −2,025 Financial activities −1,500 Professional and business services −10,382 Education and health services +14,562 Leisure and hospitality −897 Other services −129 United States, thousands as published. Total private +176 thousand. Construction +35 Manufacturing −274 Wholesale trade −53 Retail trade −238 Transportation and warehousing +58 Information −130 Financial activities +12 Professional and business services −253 Education and health services +867 Leisure and hospitality −77 Other services +17 Source: BLS BED sector job flows, SA, retrieval 2026-09-26. Lag about 7 months; deaths held three quarters. The supersector bars do not sum to total private. Series the API did not return stay off this chart. They are not a residual bar. Do not compare this five-quarter window with the three-quarter window in or_us_sector_net_sa.csv (a comma-separated table). A wage weight is composition, not a fourth pillar. It is the next chart. No trendline.
Jobs. Oregon pay weight on that same window. Composition, not a fourth pillar.
Oregon headcount and pay-weighted job equivalents Five-quarter SA nets. Omitted sectors are not zeros. Not a fourth pillar. Jobs · Oregon pay weight, same five quarters Composition beside headcount. Not a fourth pillar. Not a pay recommendation. Headcount net jobs Pay-weighted job-equivalents UI vs $28.38, above −32,616 / −38,992 UI vs $28.38, below −9,420 / −6,858 QCEW vs $69,891, above −32,616 / −43,568 QCEW vs $69,891, below +4,435 / +7,345 UI article 19 March 2026 (2025 Q2 medians). QCEW 2024 annual files last modified 2 Sep 2025. BED window 2024 Q2–2025 Q2, SA. Sectors without a one-to-one published wage are omitted, not set to zero. The UI basket and the QCEW basket are not the same sectors. United States QCEW weights are in wage_weighted_net_5q_groups.csv and are not drawn here. No 50-state wage panel.
Safety. Oregon component z. The aid is −0.865, exploratory and theft-dominated. Prison is not in it.
Oregon safety component z-scores, 2024 Violent and property are in the reading aid. Homicide, rape, and motor vehicle theft are component rows. Public safety · Oregon component z, 2024 z of the inhabitant rate. Higher z = higher rate. District of Columbia (DC) is outside the standard deviation (SD). 0 Violent · in the reading aid +0.017 Homicide · component row, not in the aid −0.411 Rape · component row, not in the aid +0.069 Property · in the reading aid +1.712 Motor vehicle theft · component row, not in the aid +0.596 Reading aid −(z violent + z property) / 2 = −0.865 Source: Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) Crime Data Explorer (CDE), summarized offenses, NSA. Last refresh 15 September 2026. Retrieval 2026-09-27. Lag about nine months after December 2024. Rate = monthly counts / CDE population × 100,000. Population SD divides by N (the 50 states). Exploratory, theft-dominated. Homicide stays a component row. Prison is not in the aid. Portland is not on this chart. The aid is not a safety grade and not a forecast.
Safety. Property z for 50 states. One component. DC excluded.
Public safety · property z, 50 states, 2024 One component. Higher z = higher property rate. Rank 1 on the readings table is the highest rate. DC excluded. Public safety · property z, 50 states, 2024 One component. Higher z = higher property rate. Rank 1 on the readings table is the highest rate. DC excluded. New Mexico Colorado Washington Oregon Nevada Kansas Maryland Texas Tennessee Hawaii Oklahoma South Carolina California Missouri North Carolina Arkansas Arizona Louisiana Delaware Alaska North Dakota New York Vermont Illinois Montana Nebraska Alabama Minnesota Virginia Georgia Ohio South Dakota Pennsylvania Utah Kentucky Michigan New Jersey Connecticut Indiana Iowa Wyoming Wisconsin Maine Massachusetts West Virginia Rhode Island Florida Mississippi New Hampshire Idaho Source: FBI CDE 2024 inhabitant rates. Population SD of the 50 states. Retrieval 2026-09-27. Oregon is the outlined bar. This chart is not the reading aid and not a state grade. No trendline.
Schools. Oregon NAEP z only. Graduation and absenteeism are not in this z.
Oregon NAEP z-scores, 2024 Grade 4 and 8 reading and mathematics. Graduation and absenteeism are not included. Public education · Oregon NAEP z, 2024 Higher z = higher scale score. The z is not flipped. The card headline is the mean of these four. 0 Grade 4 reading · rank 47 of 50 −1.500 Grade 4 mathematics · rank 48 of 50 −1.913 Grade 8 reading · rank 36 of 50 −0.439 Grade 8 mathematics · rank 40 of 50 −0.747 Source: National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) NAEP Data Service, public schools, all students. stattype MN:MN is the mean score, not Minnesota. Assessment year 2024. Retrieval 2026-09-27. 50 states. DC and national public are comparison geography and are not in the SD. Rank 1 is the highest score. ODE graduation and chronic absenteeism are a later, mismatched vintage. They are on the readings table as FLAG, not on this chart.
Schools. Grade 4 reading z for 50 states. One assessment. DC excluded.
Public education · grade 4 reading z, 50 states, 2024 One assessment. Higher z = higher scale score. The z is not sign-flipped. Rank 1 is the highest score. DC excluded. Public education · grade 4 reading z, 50 states, 2024 One assessment. Higher z = higher scale score. The z is not sign-flipped. Rank 1 is the highest score. DC excluded. Massachusetts Wyoming New Jersey New Hampshire Colorado Indiana Utah Connecticut Mississippi Florida Kentucky Montana Rhode Island Ohio Louisiana Hawaii Pennsylvania Washington Idaho Maryland North Dakota Wisconsin Tennessee South Carolina New York Iowa Minnesota Georgia Illinois Virginia South Dakota North Carolina Alabama Nevada Kansas Vermont Texas Missouri California Nebraska Arkansas Maine Delaware Michigan Arizona Oklahoma Oregon West Virginia Alaska New Mexico Source: NAEP 2024 public composite means, grade 4 reading. Retrieval 2026-09-27. National public is not in the SD. Graduation and absenteeism are not on this chart. Oregon is the outlined bar. This chart is one assessment. The card mean is not drawn here. No trendline.
Control. Imprisonment, 31 December 2023. Not in the safety aid.
Imprisonment rates, 2023, control row Oregon state jurisdiction, U.S. state aggregate, federal, and U.S. total. Not in the safety aid. Enforcement control · imprisonment, 31 December 2023 Control row. Not in the safety reading aid. Not a safety average. Oregon, state jurisdiction 291 U.S. state aggregate 318 Federal 43 U.S. total, state plus federal 360 Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS), Prisoners in 2023, catalog number NCJ 310197, Table 7. Version 30 September 2025. Lag about 21 months. Unit: sentenced prisoners under jurisdiction per 100,000 residents of all ages. Oregon does not include federal prisoners. The U.S. total does. These bars are not stacked. 318 and 43 are not drawn as a sum that has to equal 360. The property residual is a separate description, not this chart.

Regenerate with python3 scripts/build_nowcast_view.py. Sources and lags are inside each figure.